Сегодня основная часть сырьевых валют укреплялась по отношению к американскому доллару. Интерес к рисковым сделкам на рынке вырос на фоне отличных статистических данных, отражающих восстановление экономики более ускоренными темпами, чем предполагалось ранее. Национальная валюта Китая стремительно пошла вверх после публикации статистики, а вот американский доллар оказался под давлением от новостей по увеличению количества заболевших коронавирусной инфекцией на территории страны за минувшие выходные.
Кроме того, ценные бумаги КНР продемонстрировали уверенный рост вот уже пятую неделю подряд, и пока конца этой тенденции не предвидится, поскольку позитива на рынке все еще больше, чем негативных эмоций. А китайское правительство возлагает надежды на быстрое восстановление экономики страны после кризиса, связанного с мировой пандемией COVID-19. И эти надежды небезосновательны, поскольку юань сегодня смог добраться до максимальных значений по отношению к доллару, чего не фиксировалось уже с середины марта текущего года.
Проблема же Китая – это то, что экономика остается слишком зависимой от внешних факторов, которые, к слову, сейчас более благоприятны, нежели ранее. В этой связи у правительства страны наступает период большой и трудоемкой работы, заключающейся в правильном выстраивании и регулировании всех действий, которые, в свою очередь, могут обеспечить дальнейший успех и рост. А уверенный подъем на китайском рынке может потянуть вверх за собой не только весь азиатско-тихоокеанский регион, но и остальной мир.
Позитивным признаком служит нарастание экономической активности Китая в различных секторах. По крайней мере ближайшего соседа – Австралию, а также европейский регион это порадует, поскольку для них китайские партнеры являются одними из основных.
Единая европейская валюта сегодня увеличилась на 0,38% и дошла до уровня 1,1292 доллара за евро, вплотную приблизившись к максимальному значению 1,1303 доллара за евро. Позитив здесь был обеспечен отличной статистикой. В частности, объем заказов в секторе немецкой обрабатывающей промышленности за последний месяц весны увеличился на 10,4%. Кроме того, значительно подскочил и общий объем розничных продаж в европейском регионе, показатель стал больше на 17,8%.
Национальная валюта Австралии укрепилась на 0,3% и достигла отметки 0,6954 доллара за «оззи». Основное внимание валютного рынка здесь направлено на очередное заседание Резервного банка страны, от которого ждут определенных решений относительно дальнейшей монетарной политики.
Национальная валюта Великобритании стала стоить немного больше, что позволило ей оказаться на уровне 1,2492 доллара за фунт стерлингов. Подъем здесь стали фиксировать после того, как министр финансов страны рассекретил планы правительства по увеличению минимального порога налога на недвижимость, а также краткосрочному снижению налога на добавленную стоимость в секторе услуг.
Стоимость американского доллара по отношению к корзине из шести основных валют мира сегодня сократилась на 0,3% и достигла отметки 96.908 пункта, что является минимальным значением с начала этого месяца.
Риск сегодня входит в моду среди инвесторов, что, конечно, совсем не на руку американской валюте, давление на которую также идет со стороны увеличивающегося числа больных коронавирусной инфекцией на территории США. Давление на доллар достаточно велико, и пока нет путей преодоления этой ситуации. Масло в огонь подливают и предварительные прогнозы аналитиков, которые в последнее время пересматриваются в худшую сторону. Так, агентство Goldman Sachs скорректировало вниз свои данные по возможному росту американской экономики. Так, теперь ожидается сокращение ВВП примерно на 4,6%, тогда как ранее заявлялось о падении не более чем на 4,2%.
Как отмечают некоторые эксперты, это не единственное сокращение, с которым придется столкнуться стране в ближайшее время. Потребительские расходы также серьезно замедлят свой рост, что связано с новыми ограничительными мерами в борьбе с распространением COVID-19.
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